Overview
Find the edge. Control the risk.
Today’s Market Opportunities
Estimated edges derived from simulated model prices. Estimates, not predictions.
League
Market
Bookmaker
Starting time
Min edge · 0.0%
Min confidence · 0
| Event | Market | Offered | Fair | Implied | Model | Est. edge | Confidence | Bookmaker | Movement | Start / state | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Inter vs Juventus Over 2.5 GoalsSimulatedModel estimate | Over 2.5Serie A | 2.12 | 1.94 | 47.2% | 51.5% | +9.3% | High · 82 | BBBook B | +0.06 | 20:45Europe/Rome · scheduled | Strong Value | |
Napoli vs AtalantaLIVE · 34’ Atalanta +0.5SimulatedModel estimate | Asian HandicapSerie A | 2.04 | 1.90 | 49.0% | 52.6% | +7.4% | Medium · 71 | BDBook D | +0.08 | Napoli 0–0 AtalantaMarket openUpdated 4s ago — simulated | Strong Value | |
Arsenal vs Liverpool Arsenal -0.25SimulatedModel estimate | Asian HandicapPremier League | 1.98 | 1.87 | 50.5% | 53.5% | +5.9% | Medium · 74 | EXExchange X | +0.03 | 21:00Europe/Rome · scheduled | Strong Value | |
Ajax vs Feyenoord Over 2.5 GoalsSimulatedImported | Over 2.5Eredivisie | 1.86 | 1.79 | 53.8% | 55.9% | +3.9% | Medium · 66 | BBBook B | +0.02 | 20:45Europe/Rome · scheduled | Moderate Value | |
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Real MadridSimulatedImported | Home WinLa Liga | 1.62 | 1.57 | 61.7% | 63.7% | +3.2% | Medium · 61 | BABook A | -0.04 | 21:00Europe/Rome · scheduled | Watch | |
Bayern Munich vs Dortmund Both Teams To Score — YesSimulatedOCROCR demo | BTTSBundesliga | 1.72 | 1.69 | 58.1% | 59.2% | +1.8% | Low · 55 | BCBook C | 0.00 | 20:45Europe/Rome · scheduled | Watch | |
Villarreal vs BetisLIVE · 12’ DrawSimulatedModel estimate | DrawLa Liga | 3.45 | 3.40 | 29.0% | 29.4% | +1.5% | Low · 48 | EXExchange X | +0.05 | Villarreal 1–0 BetisMarket suspendedUpdated 21s ago — simulated | Watch |
Bankroll equity curve
Actual bankroll versus expected bankroll, one point per day.
CLV trend
Rolling closing line value, odds-based convention.
Monthly drawdown
Worst peak-to-trough decline in each month.
Performance by league
| League | Bets | P/L | ROI | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 142 | +€940 | +8.1% | +4.6% |
| Premier League | 118 | +€520 | +5.2% | +2.8% |
| La Liga | 96 | +€260 | +3.1% | +1.9% |
| Bundesliga | 74 | +€185 | +2.4% | +1.2% |
| Ligue 1 | 51 | -€95 | -1.6% | -0.4% |
Performance by market
| Market | Bets | P/L | ROI | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asian Handicap | 132 | +€810 | +7.4% | +4.1% |
| Over / Under | 164 | +€615 | +5.6% | +3.2% |
| Match Odds | 121 | +€240 | +2.2% | +1.1% |
| BTTS | 68 | +€95 | +1.4% | +0.6% |
| Live markets | 79 | -€120 | -2.1% | -1.8% |
Open Positions
Sportsbook bets and exchange positions combined. Tracking only — simulated data.
| Event | Type | Side | Entry | Current | Stake | Liability | Unrealised P&L | Max loss | CLV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter vs Juventus — Over 2.5SimulatedModel estimate | Sportsbook | Back | 2.12 | 1.96 | €250 | €250 | +€20.41 | €250 | Pending | Open |
| Arsenal vs Liverpool — Arsenal -0.25SimulatedAPI | Exchange | Back | 1.98 | 1.90 | €320 | €320 | +€13.47 | €320 | Pending | Partially matched |
| Real Madrid vs Sevilla — DrawSimulatedAPI | Exchange | Lay | 3.60 | 3.85 | €120 | €312 | +€7.79 | €312 | Pending | Open |
| Napoli vs Atalanta — Atalanta +0.5SimulatedImported | Sportsbook | Back | 2.04 | 2.20 | €180 | €180 | -€13.09 | €180 | +3.0% | In-play |
| Ajax vs Feyenoord — Over 2.5SimulatedOCROCR demo | Sportsbook | Back | 1.86 | 1.82 | €200 | €200 | +€4.40 | €200 | Pending | Open |
| Bayern Munich vs Dortmund — BTTS YesSimulatedManual | Exchange | Back | 1.72 | 1.70 | €158 | €158 | +€1.86 | €158 | -1.1% | Awaiting settlement |
| Total | €1,420 | +€34.84 | ||||||||
Risk Overview
Limits, exposure and correlation control.
68% utilised. Above your limit LINQVRA warns you, asks for an acknowledgement and suppresses new opportunity alerts. It cannot place or block real-money bets.
Correlated exposure above your limit
4 positions depend on the same high-scoring scenario. Combined correlated exposure is 5.8% of bankroll, above your configured 3.0% limit. New alerts in this cluster are suppressed until it falls back inside the limit.
Exposure by match
Exposure by league
AI Coach
Pattern analysis on your simulated betting history.
Your strongest performance comes from Serie A Asian Handicap markets, where you have generated +4.6% CLV across 87 bets. Your live bets after the 70th minute have produced negative CLV and a significantly higher drawdown. Consider reducing live exposure and limiting stake size to 0.75% of bankroll.
Observations are statistical estimates on simulated history, not advice or a guarantee of future results.
Alerts
Simulated market and risk notifications.
Fair odds threshold reached
2 min agoInter vs Juventus — Over 2.5 is now 2.12 against an estimated fair 1.94.
Sudden market movement
9 min agoNapoli vs Atalanta — Asian Handicap moved 0.08 in under three minutes.
Lineup confirmed
24 min agoArsenal vs Liverpool — both lineups published, model re-estimated.
Liquidity increased
41 min agoExchange X — Real Madrid vs Sevilla now shows €18,400 available at 1.62.
Correlated exposure above your limit
56 min agoCorrelated high-scoring exposure is 5.8% of bankroll against your 3.0% limit. LINQVRA will suppress new opportunity alerts in this cluster.
Closing line recorded
1 h agoVillarreal vs Betis — Draw closed at 3.30 against your 3.45 entry (+4.5% CLV).
Session & Limits
Responsible risk controls, always on.
You are warned when a continuous session passes this length.
Tracked from your recorded activity. LINQVRA cannot stop real-money activity on a bookmaker or exchange account.
Chasing-risk check
Your stake size rose after two consecutive losing positions. Consider holding your normal staking plan or taking a voluntary pause.
Voluntary pause, stake caps and support resources are available in Settings.